# SEMINAR

Probabilistic reasoning in frontier science (2nd lecture)
* Giulio D'Agostini*
(**University of Rome La Sapienza**)

**Sala PA1, IST, EdifĂcio MatemĂˇtica**

**Thursday, April 16th, 2009 at 04:00 PM**

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**Abstract**
`
The short course introduces general ideas and some basic methods
of probability theory applied to scientific data analysis,
focusing in particular to some issues typical of frontier physics,
like measurements at the limit of the detector sensitivity,
no or few candidate events, possibly affected by background.
The items presented include: model comparison;
parametric inference (with binomial, Poisson
or Gaussian detector response); effect of systematics on the global
uncertainties.`

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